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- plans
for the arms talks . We should get started even if we handle the talks so as
not to bind a successor. It is our hope that Mr. N ixon will agree to our going
ahead and we have offered to have Bob Murphy as an obser ver on th e delegation.
Secretary
- .
Re - negotiation would call for Greek concessions. If the treaty laps es, the 10, 000 Greek
in Turkey lose their rights .
Any deal by Makarios and the Cypriots with the USSR will move slowly. Makarios
apparently hopes to delay any action until
- to the Russians in an effort t o explain
why we had to retaliate as we did. Our hope is that they will understand why we
acted as we did , at least to the extent of being annoyed by the North Vietnamese
action.
Mr. Ball informed the group that we had sent
- military forces and limit the size of U. S . forces.
Political fragility continues in South Vietn am. We hope that the political
situation is at last settling down. Based on recent local elections, a national
election held now would not go to Ho Chi Minh
- of the approval of
the SEA TO treaty and of the August resolu tion.
Secretary McNamara: Political events in Saigon are causing trouble in the
military area. There are fewer Vi e tnamese casualti es . We hope that heavy
pressure by U. S . forces will carry us ove r
- Of the United States the D.R.V. Governme."l.t and
duction of to.r eign troops into not to pull out ot South prove this by actual cieeds. •
Vietnam.. If the United States Vletnam, and he hoped the
rt must end unconditior:ally_
r ca.lly respects the agree
- U. S. forces which will soon go to 70, 000.
The present VC campaign w ill be terminated without serious losses . With
more U . S . combat troo p s a nd more U. S. air power, the hope is that we will
be able to push Hanoi into negotiations.
General
- .
The North Vietnamese came to Paris to negotiate seriously. They hope to
erode support for the war in the United States by causing high U.S. casualties.
They will fail in this . They will conclude that they cannot prevail militarily
and will then seek
- offers them no prospect of an
early victory . and no grounds for hope that they can simply outlast the US and
(2) North Vietnam itself is under continuing and increasingly damagi ng punitive
SEllVtCE SET
-4GP. SECRET
..
..
•
.
(J
- in this
process.
We believe that, in embo.rking on these tnctics, the
Soviet leaders hoped to work Henoi be.ck
to'Wtlrd
c. middle position
1n the Sino·Soviet dispute, to discourage the US from broadening
the war, and to IJEl.X'ticipate in the Commun.1st
- countries visited, he sa id the acting head of
Indonesia, General Suharto, and the Malaysian Prime Minister both told him
that if the United States fails in Vietnam, all hope for a free Southeast Asia
would be lost .
In Malaysia the Prime Minister said
- with the expenditure of a very small
amount of mo11ey. Th e USIA in Vietnam _is now working on a joint
basis with L~e Viet namese and it is hoped that progr ess will result
from the joint effort. )
{7) Limitation of funds -- we may not be doing some things that
we
- ally in Vietnam .
In fact , h e said h e h ad the will to do it but there was
a lack of r esources which he hoped we might help provide .
President Marcos suggested that the Phili ppines could
supply considerable materi a l for our ope r atio ns
- at:
a.
The VC/NVA ca n no longer hope to win militarily in
South Vie tnam , and
b.
Our air campai g n against North Vietnam plus our vigoro u s
an d agressi ve gro und actions in South Vietnam have created this favorable
militar y situatio n.
5.
It is my bel
- gnm ent . The Ame rican people have a
feeling of impati e n ce a n d, over tirne, the y may demand a quick e nd to the war
as the price for the ir continued support. Thi s restlessnes s is evident in the
public op inion polls . Opinion ab r oad hope s
- situation in Vietnam is better than he expected
it to be. Military preparations are progressing in an entirely satisfactory way.
Progress in pacification is less than he had hoped. More emphasis ne eds to be
placed on pacification programs. The pacification
- reasury
looked fairly fa vorably on a blacklis t operation. 11,' lth a n O.A.5 cover and no
freezing of Jrree \\" orld as1eta in the U. s., the rhks of eetaliatlon would be
m ana geable.
!! there is 11 general discussion of the black list, I hope