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- to control rural areas serving as access
routes or bases for insurgent activities in neighboring
countries; Venezuela needs to expand its security
capability aga i nst the likelihood of a sustained
Castro-supported subversion threat.
S_Ee~EI
_ SECRET
5.
3
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7
on Cuba;** that is,
11
. we believe that Castro does
not intend to force the issue until after the US elections,
when he will seel( UN action.
If this fails, there is con-
8
9
10
siderable danger that he would order a shoot-down, calcu-
11